三肖选一肖一码

当前机械工业经济运行情况与趋势预判

作者:中机联 本站发布时间:2020年03月31日 收藏

当前机械工业经济运行情况与趋势预判

中国机械工业联合会执行副会长陈斌

三肖选一肖一码  JIXIEGONGYESHIGUOMINJINGJIDEZHIZHUCHANYE,2019NIANJIXIEGONGYEZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAOYUNXINGZAIHELIQUJIAN,DUIHONGGUANJINGJIWENZENGZHANGFAHUIZHICHENGZUOYONG。2020NIANCHUZAOYUXINXINGGUANZHUANGBINGDUYIQING,JIXIEGONGYEJIANJUEGUANCHELUOSHIDANGZHONGYANG、GUOWUYUANDEBUSHU,QUANXINGYEJIJITOUSHENYIQINGFANGKONGDOUZHENG,YOUXUTUIJINFUGONGFUCHAN。

  一、2019年机械工业经济运行回顾

三肖选一肖一码  2019NIAN,MIANDUIGUONEIWAIFENGXIANTIAOZHANMINGXIANSHANGSHENGDEFUZAJUMIAN,JIXIEGONGYERENZHENGUANCHELUOSHIDANGZHONGYANG、GUOWUYUANDEJUECEBUSHU,KEFUKUNNAN,CHENGYAQIANXING。NIANCHUZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAODAFUXIAHUA,SANYUEFENDUANZANHUISHENG,CIHOUZAIDUCHIXUHUILUO;JINRUSANJIDUHOU,DUOXIANGWENZENGZHANGCUOSHIZHUJIANJIANXIAO,JIANSHUIJIANGFEIZHENGCELIHAOXIANXIAN,JIXIEGONGYEJINGJIYUNXINGTAISHIYOUSUOGAISHAN。QUANNIANYINGYESHOURUXIAOFUZENGZHANG、CHANXIAOZHUJIANHUIWEN、CHUKOUJIBENWENDING。DANZONGTIERYAN,KUNRAOXINGYEFAZHANDECHANYEJIEGOUXINGMAODUNSHANGWEIMINGXIANHUANJIE,XIAOYIXIAJIANG、TOUZIDIMIDEZHUANGKUANGRENGWEINIUZHUAN,SHIXIANJIXIEGONGYEPINGWENYUNXINGDEYALIYIRANCUNZAI。

  (一)增加值增速波动回稳

三肖选一肖一码  2019NIANJIXIEGONGYEZENGJIAZHIBODONGJIAODA,1-2YUETONGBIJINZENGZHANG2%,1-3YUEXUNSUHUISHENGZHI6.3%;DAN4YUEZHI7YUEZECHIXUFANGHUANZHI3.9%;8YUEYIHOUHUIWENDEQUSHIZHUBUXIANXIAN。QUANNIANJIXIEGONGYEZENGJIAZHIZENGSUHUISHENGZHI5.1%,RENGDIYUTONGQIQUANGUOGONGYEPINGJUNSHUIPING(5.7%),YEDIYUSHANGNIANJIXIEGONGYE6.3%DEZENGSU。

  (二)产品生产逐渐回升

  ZI2018NIAN6YUEYILAIJIXIEGONGYECHANPINSHENGCHANZHUBUZOURUO,ZHONGDIANJIANCEDEZHUYAOCHANPINZHONGCHANLIANGZENGZHANGDEZHONGLEICHIXUJIANSHAO,ZHI2019NIAN8、9YUEFENJIANGZHIJIEDUANXINGDIDIAN,CHANLIANGZENGZHANGPINZHONGSHUJINZHAN120ZHONGZHONGDIANCHANPINDE35.8%。CIHOUZHUYUEQUWENHUISHENG,QUANNIANZHUYAOCHANPINZHONGCHANLIANGTONGBIZENGZHANGDE50ZHONG,ZHANBIWEI41.7%;CHANLIANGTONGBIXIAJIANGDE70ZHONG,ZHANBIWEI58.3%。

  ZHUYAOCHANPINCHANLIANGZENGJIANBIAOXIANCHUYIXIATEDIAN:YISHIQIZHONGSHEBEI、SHIHUAZHUANGBEI、BUFENTONGYONGSHEBEIHEJICHUJIANCHANPINDESHENGCHANBAOCHIWENDINGZENGZHANG;ERSHIGONGCHENGJIXIE、YIQIYIBIAO、HUANJINGBAOHUCHANPINJINGGUOGAOSUZENGZHANGHOU,ZENGSUPUBIANHUILUO,DANZONGTIJINGQIDURENGJIAOHAO;SANSHIFADIANSHEBEI、SHUBIANDIANSHEBEI、JICHUANGGONGJUCHANPIN、NONGJICHANPINSHENGCHANCHIXUDIMI;SISHIQICHECHANXIAOMINGXIANXIAJIANG,DANXIABANNIANJIANGFUZHUJIANSHOUZHAI。

  (三)经济效益指标下滑

三肖选一肖一码  2019NIANJIXIEGONGYELEIJISHIXIANYINGYESHOURU21.76WANYIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG2.46%,QUANNIANCHIXUDISUZENGZHANG,ZENGSUJIAOQUANGUOGONGYEDI1.39GEBAIFENDIAN;SHIXIANLIRUNZONGE1.32WANYIYUAN,TONGBIXIAJIANG4.53%,QUANNIANCHIXUFUZENGZHANG,ZENGSUJIAOQUANGUOGONGYEDI1.24GEBAIFENDIAN。

三肖选一肖一码  2019NIANJIXIEGONGYEYINGYESHOURULIRUNLVWEI6.08%,BISHANGNIANXIAJIANG0.44GEBAIFENDIAN,GAOYUQUANGUOGONGYE0.22GEBAIFENDIAN;MEIBAIYUANZICHANSHIXIANYINGYESHOURU88.78YUAN,BISHANGNIANTONGQIJIANSHAO2.79YUAN,DIYUQUANGUOGONGYE0.01YUAN。

  (四)行业运行分化明显

三肖选一肖一码  2019NIANQICHEXINGYEYANXULESHANGNIANDEXIAXINGZOUSHI,QUANNIANSHIXIANYINGYESHOURUBISHANGNIANXIAJIANG1.66%、SHIXIANLIRUNZONGEBISHANGNIANXIAJIANG15.3%,SHIDAOZHIJIXIEGONGYEZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAOHUILUODEZHUYAOYUANYIN。KOUCHUQICHEXINGYE,JIXIEGONGYEZHONGFEIQICHEXINGYEYINGYESHOURUBISHANGNIANZENGZHANG5.18%、LIRUNZONGEZENGZHANG4.11%,JUNGAOYUTONGQIQUANGUOGONGYEJIJIXIEGONGYEPINGJUNSHUIPING;QIZHONGGONGCHENGJIXIE、JIQIRENYUZHINENGZHIZAODENGXINGYEYINGYESHOURUSHIXIANLIANGWEISHUZENGZHANG,WENHUABANGONGSHEBEI、ZHONGXINGKUANGSHANSHEBEI、SHIPINBAOZHUANGSHEBEIXINGYELIRUNZENGSUCHAOGUO20%。

  (五)进出口总体低迷

  JUHAIGUANTONGJI,2019NIANJIXIEGONGYELEIJISHIXIANJINCHUKOUZONGE7735YIMEIYUAN,BISHANGNIANXIAJIANG2.08%。QIZHONGJINKOU3151YIMEIYUAN,BISHANGNIANXIAJIANG6.5%,SHISIGEFENXINGYEJINKOUJINEQUANBUFUZENGZHANG;CHUKOU4584YIMEIYUAN,BISHANGNIANZENGZHANG1.22%,SHISIGEFENXINGYEZHONGNEIRANJI、WENBANSHEBEI、DIANGONGDIANQI、JIXIEJICHUJIANHEQICHEXINGYECHUKOUXIAJIANG,QITAJIUGEFENXINGYECHUKOUJINEZENGZHANG。QUANNIANJIXIEGONGYELEIJISHIXIANMAOYISHUNCHA1433YIMEIYUAN。

  二、当前机械工业经济运行情况

  2020NIANCHU,XINXINGGUANZHUANGBINGDUFEIYANYIQINGZAIQUANGUOKUAISUMANYAN。TUFADEYIQINGDUIGUOMINJINGJI、SHEHUIZHIXUHERENMINSHENGHUODENGDUOGEFANGMIANCHANSHENGXIANZHUYINGXIANG。TONGYANGDUIJIXIEGONGYEDEPINGWENYUNXINGZAOCHENGLEHENDACHONGJI,ZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAODAFUHUILUO。2YUEZHONGXUNYILAI,ZAIDANGZHONGYANG、GUOWUYUANTONGCHOUYIQINGFANGKONGYUJINGJISHEHUIZHIXUHUIFUDEZHENGCEZHIYINXIA,JIXIEGONGYEJIAKUAILEFUGONGFUCHANDEBUFA,QIYESHENGCHANJINGYINGKAISHIZHUBUHUIFU。

  (一)新型冠状病毒疫情对行业运行的影响

  SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANG,SHICHANGXUQIUHESHENGCHANZHOURANFANGHUAN,XIAOFEIDIMI、TOUZIBUZHEN、CHUKOUXIAXING。JIXIEGONGYEZUOWEIGUOMINJINGJIDEZHIZHUCHANYE,SHENGCHANYUNXINGYEMIANLINJUDATIAOZHAN。GENJUZHONGGUOJIXIEGONGYELIANHEHUI2YUECHUDUIQIYEDEZHUANTIDIAOYAN,YIQINGDUIXINGYEQIYEDEYINGXIANGZHUYAOBIAOXIANZAIYIXIAJIFANGMIAN:DIYIQUANGUOCHUNJIEJIAQIYANZHANG,DUOSHUSHENGQUSHITUICHIKAIGONGFUCHANSHIJIAN,ZHISHIJIXIEQIYEDEFUGONGFUCHANSHIJIANPUBIANYANCHI,CHAOGUOJIUCHENGDEQIYEYOUYUYANQIFUGONG,DAOZHISHIJISHENGCHANSHIJIANMINGXIANJIANSHAO。DIERJIAOTONGXIANZHIZHIWULIUYUNSHUKUNNAN,YIFANGMIANBIAOXIANZAIYUANCAILIAO、LINGPEIJIAN、WAIGOUJIANYUNSHUBUCHANG,SHENGCHANNANYIBAOZHANG;LINGYIFANGMIANBIAOXIANZAIYISHOUCHANPINNANYIJIAOFU,SHEBEIDIAOSHIANZHUANGRENYUANBUNENGDAODAXIANCHANGGONGZUO。DISANYOUYUTINGGONGFUCHANQIXIANBUYIZHI,SHANGXIAYOUQIYEJIANSHENGCHANGONGYINGDEPIPEINANDUMINGXIANJIADA,POHUAILECHANYESHENGTAI。DISIYOUYUSHENGCHANTINGZHI,DAOZHIDINGDANJIAOFUNAN、HETONGZHIXINGNAN,QIYEZIJINHUILONGFANGHUAN、WEIYUECHENGBENSHANGSHENG;TONGSHIXINDAILIXI、FANGWUCHANGDIZUJINDENGGUDINGZHICHURENGZAICHIXU,ZHISHIQIYEZIJINLIANJINZHANG。DIWUGEDIDUIWAIDIFANHUIRENYUANJIBENDOUYAOQIUGELI14TIAN,BUFENDIQUSHEQU、CUNWEIHUISHENZHIDUIWAIDIFANHUIRENYUANQIANGZHIGELI,DAOZHIJICENGYUANGONGFANGANGNAN。DILIUYIQINGFASHENGHOUBUFENHAIWAIDINGDANBEIYANQITIHUOHUOQUXIAO。

  (二)机械工业主要经济指标全面下行

三肖选一肖一码  SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANG,JIXIEQIYEDESHENGCHANJINGYINGPUBIANZAOYULEJIAODACHONGJI,ZHISHIJINQIJIXIEGONGYEZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAOCHUXIANQIANSUOWEIYOUDEXIAJIANG。

三肖选一肖一码  1、GONGYEZENGJIAZHIDAFUXIAJIANG

  GUOJIATONGJIJUSHUJUXIANSHI,1-2YUEJIXIEGONGYEZENGJIAZHIZENGSUTONGBIXIAJIANG28.3%,JIAOSHANGNIANTONGQIHUILUO30YUGEBAIFENDIAN,FENBIEDIYUTONGQIQUANGUOGONGYEHEZHIZAOYE14.8GEHE12.6GEBAIFENDIAN。

三肖选一肖一码  JIXIEGONGYEZHUYAOSHEJIDEGUOMINJINGJIDALEIXINGYEZHONG,TONGYONGSHEBEIZHIZAOYEZENGJIAZHIZENGSUTONGBIXIAJIANG28.2%、ZHUANYONGSHEBEIZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG24.4%、QICHEZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG31.8%、DIANQIJIXIEHEQICAIZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG24.7%、YIQIYIBIAOZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG27.4%,JIANGFUJUNCHUANGLISHIXINDI。

  2、ZHUYAOCHANPINSHENGCHANQUANMIANHUILUO

  JIXIEGONGYEZHONGDIANJIANCEDE120ZHONGZHUYAOCHANPINZHONG,1-2YUEJINSHUILUNFADIANJIZUHEFENGLIFADIANJIZUCHANLIANGTONGBIZENGZHANG,QITA118ZHONGCHANPINDECHANLIANGQUANMIANXIAJIANG,QIZHONG83.3%DECHANPINCHANLIANGJIANGFUCHAOGUO20%。ZHUYAOCHANPINZHONG,QICHECHANLIANGTONGBIXIAJIANG45.8%、JINSHUQIEXUEJICHUANGXIAJIANG44.96%、WAJUEJIXIAJIANG35.68%、FADIANJIZUXIAJIANG30.75%。

  3、GUDINGZICHANTOUZIZHOURANXIAXING

  JIXIEGONGYEZHUYAOSHEJIDEGUOMINJINGJIDALEIXINGYEZHONG,TONGYONGSHEBEIZHIZAOYETOUZITONGBIXIAJIANG40.1%、ZHUANYONGSHEBEIZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG36.2%、QICHEZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG41%、DIANQIJIXIEHEQICAIZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG33.7%,JIANGFUJUNMINGXIANDAYUGONGYE(-27.5%)HEZHIZAOYE(-31.5%)DETOUZIJIANGFU。

三肖选一肖一码  4、JIXIEGONGYEJINCHUKOUJUNTONGBIXIAJIANG

  HAIGUANTONGJISHUJUXIANSHI,1-2YUEWOGUOJIDIANCHANPINJINKOUE1196.03YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIXIAJIANG7.6%;QIZHONGJICHUANGXIAJIANG35.3%,QICHE(HANDIPAN)XIAJIANG6.1%,QICHELINGPEIJIANXIAJIANG12.8%。JIDIANCHANPINCHUKOUE1720.57YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIXIAJIANG16.2%;QIZHONGTONGYONGJIXIESHEBEIXIAJIANG7.8%,QICHE(HANDIPAN)XIAJIANG1.3%,QICHELINGPEIJIANXIAJIANG13.3%。

  (三)全行业积极投身疫情防控

三肖选一肖一码  MIANDUITURUQILAIDEYIQINGYINGXIANG,ZHONGGUOJIXIEGONGYELIANHEHUICHONGFENFAHUIXINGYEZUZHIDEQIAOLIANGNIUDAIZUOYONG,JIJIBUSHUKAIZHANFANGKONGGONGZUO。YISHITICHUCHANGYININGJUXINXIN。XIANGJIXIANGXITONGDANWEIYINFALE《GUANYUJIAQIANGDANGQIANXINXINGGUANZHUANGBINGDUYIQINGFANGKONGGONGZUODETONGZHI》、XIANGXINGYEFACHULE《JIANDINGXINXIN,GONGJIANKENAN,DAYINGYIQINGFANGKONGRENMINZHANZHENG》CHANGYISHU,XIANGGEZHUANYEXIEHUI、DIFANGXINGYEXIEHUIFACHU《GUANYUGONGTONGZUOHAOYIQINGFANGKONGYUQIYEYOUXUFUGONGFUCHANFUWUGONGZUODETONGZHI》。ERSHIKAIZHANDIAOYAN,LEJIEQINGKUANG。TONGGUOGEZHONGQUDAOGUANGFANLEJIEXINGYE、QIYESHOUYIQINGYINGXIANGQINGKUANGYUFUGONGFUCHANZHONGCUNZAIDEWENTIYUKUNNAN。XIANHOUZUZHIKAIZHANZHONGDIANQIYEYIQINGYINGXIANGZHUANTIDIAOCHA;YU18JIAZHUANYEXIEHUIJIANLIQIYEFUGONGFUCHANQINGKUANGRIBAO、ZHOUBAOZHIDU,HANGAIQIYE8200YUJIA;YUSHANDONGJINGXINYUANDENG13JIADIFANGXIEHUI(ZUZHI)LIANHEDUI700YUJIAZHONGXIAOQIYEKAIZHANZHUANTIDIAOYAN;HUILINGDAODAIDUIDUINONGJIXIEHUI、QICHEXIEHUIHEGONGCHENGXIEHUIJINXINGDIAOYAN;CHANGDAOCHENGLILEGUOZIWEI16JIAZHIGUANXIEHUIFUWUXIEZUOLIANMENG,FACHUCHANGYISHU,ZHAOKAILINGDAOXIAOZUHUI,KAIZHANJIAOLIUHEFUWUDUIJIEHUODONG。SANSHIZHICHENGZHENGFUJUECEXIANGZHENGFUBUMENSHANGBAOYOUGUANYIQINGFANGKONGDONGTAI、YIQINGDUIJIXIEQIYEYINGXIANGYIJITICHUXIANGGUANDEYIJIANHEJIANYI,CANJIAZHENGFUZUOTANHUI,SHANGBAOZHUANTIBAOGAO、DONGTAIFANYINGDENGFENXIHUIBAOCAILIAO20DUOJIAN;BIANFA40DUOQIGONGZUOJIANBAOHEQINGKUANGFANYING;ZHUANFATONGZHI、FAFANGJIANBAODENG5000DUOTIAO;TONGSHIJIJIXIANGQUANSHEHUIFACHUJIXIEXINGYEDESHENGYIN,ZUZHIXINWENBAODAO3600DUOTIAO;ZUZHIXINGYEJINGJIXINXISHIPINFABUHUI,60DUOJIAMEITICANJIA;TONGGUOYANGSHIDENGMEITIFABUJIXIEGONGYEFUGONGFUCHANDONGTAIQINGKUANG。

三肖选一肖一码  JIXIEGONGYEGUANGDAQIYEFAHUIZISHENYOUSHI,TONGGUOGEZHONGXINGSHIJIJITOURUDAOKANGJIYIQINGDEZHANDOUZHONG。QICHEXINGYEQIYEJIAKUAIJIEZOU、KAIZUMALIJINJIFUGONGSHENGCHANFUYAJIUHUCHE,ZUZHICHUXINGFUWUCHEDUIPEIHEYIQINGFANGKONGYONGCHEDIAODU,TIGONGMIANFEICHUXINGFUWU;GONGCHENGJIXIEXINGYEQIYECANYUCHIYUANQUANGUOGEDI“XIAOTANGSHAN”SHIYIYUANDEJIANSHE;TONGYONGSHEBEISHENGCHANQIYEXIANGHUOSHENSHANHELEISHENSHANYIYUANJUANZENGKONGDIAOFENGJI、XINFENGJINGHUAJIZU、FENGFA、WUSHUICHULIBENGDENGTONGFENGXIAODULEIWUZI。CIWAIJIXIEGONGYEQIYECHONGFENFAHUIZISHENYANFA、ZHIZAONENGLIQIANGDETEDIAN,KUAISUKUAJIEZHUANCHANYIQINGFANGKONGWUZIJIZHUANGBEI,YIXIANGJISHENGCHANCHUYIYONGKOUZHAO、XIAODUYEDENGCHANPIN,PILIANGGONGYINGQUANZIDONGKOUZHAOSHENGCHANXIANDENGZHUANGBEI。

  (四)有序推进复工复产

三肖选一肖一码  ZAIGUOWUYUANJIYOUGUANBUWEIHEGEDIZHENGFUXIANGJIFABUSHISHIGEXIANGTUIDONGQIYEYOUXUFUGONGFUCHANDEZHENGCECUOSHIYILAI,JIXIEGONGYEQIYEFUGONGFUCHANQINGKUANGKUAISUTISHENG。

  GUGANQIYEFUGONGLVKUAISUTISHENG。ZHONGGUOJIXIEGONGYELIANHEHUIHUITONG18GEFENXINGYEXIEHUIJIANLIDEFUGONGFUCHANRIBAOSHUJUXIANSHI,JIXIEGONGYEQIYEFUGONGLVKUAISUTISHENG。YOU2YUE13RIDEBUZUSANCHENG,SHENGZHI3YUECHUDEJIEJINBACHENG,DANGQIANYICHAOGUOJIUCHENG。QIZHONGQICHE、TONGYONGJIXIE、DIANGONGDIANQI、ZHONGXINGJIXIE、SHIYOUSHIHUASHEBEI、YINSHUAJIXIE、SHIPINBAOZHUANGJIXIE、JICHUANG、TONGYONGLINGBUJIAN、ZHILENGKONGDIAO、YIQIYIBIAOHESULIAOJIXIEDENG12GEXINGYEYIDADAOJIUCHENGYISHANG。

三肖选一肖一码  ZHONGXIAOXINGQIYEFUGONGLVYUEWUCHENG。WEILEJIEZAIJIXIEGONGYEZONGLIANGZHONGZHANBIYUEJIUCHENGDEZHONGXIAOQIYEDEFUGONGFUCHANQINGKUANG,ZHONGGUOJIXIEGONGYELIANHEHUILIANHEDIFANGXIEHUI(ZUZHI)ZHENDUIZHONGXIAOQIYEKAIZHANZHUANTIDIAOYAN。JIEGUOXIANSHI,DANGQIANZHONGXIAOQIYEDEZHIGONGDAOFUGONGLVWEI51%,QIYEDACHANLVWEI49%。LIANGXIANGZHIBIAOMINGXIANDIYUTONGQIJIXIEXINGYERIBAOTIXIZHONGDAXINGQIYEDEFUGONGLVZHIBIAO。BIAOMINGJIXIEXINGYEGUANGDAZHONGXIAOQIYESHOUYIQINGYINGXIANGCHENGDUGENGDA,FUGONGFUCHANDENANDUYEGENGDA。

  WEIZHULIXINGYEQIYEKEXUEJINGZHUNFANGYI、YOUXUFUGONGFUCHAN,ZHONGGUOJIXIEGONGYELIANHEHUIJINQITICHUBAFANGMIANSHILIUTIAOGONGZUOCUOSHIFUWUQIYEFUGONGFUCHAN。TONGSHIZAIGUOZIWEIZHICHITUIDONGXIA,ZHONGJILIANDENGGUOZIWEI16JIAZHIGUANXIEHUIZIYUANZUJIANLEFUWUQIYEFUGONGFUCHANXIEZUOLIANMENG,YIGENGHAODIFUWUYUKANGJIYIQING、ZHULIQIYEHUIFUZHENGCHANGSHENGCHANJINGYINGZHIXU。

  (五)当前行业运行存在的问题

三肖选一肖一码  SUIRANJIXIEXINGYEFUGONGFUCHANGONGZUOQUANMIANTUIJIN,BINGYIQUDEJIEDUANXINGCHENGGUO,DANWENTIYUKUNNANRENGRANCUNZAI,BUGUOSUIZHEYIQINGDEHAOZHUANHEZHENGCEDELUOSHIDOUYOULEBUTONGCHENGDUDEHUANJIE。RIBAOJIANCEDEHUIYUANQIYEHEZHONGDIANLIANXIQIYEFUGONGLVYICHAOGUOJIUCHENG,DANZHIGONGFUGONGLVMINGXIANDIYUGAISHUIPING,QIYEFUCHANLVGENGDI;CHOUYANGDIAOCHADEZHONGXIAOQIYEFUGONGLVJINWUCHENGZUOYOU。DANGQIANQIYEZAIFUGONGFUCHANHEHUIFUSHENGCHANJINGYINGZHIXUGUOCHENGZHONG,ZHUYAOMIANLINYIXIAWENTIYUKUNNAN:

三肖选一肖一码  YISHICHANYELIANXIANJIEBUCHANG、LINGPEIJIANGONGYINGBUZU。SHOUPIFUGONGFUCHANXINGSHIJIAOHAODEDUOWEIDAXINGZHU(ZHENG)JIZHIZAOQIYE,ERQIJICHUJIANGONGYINGSHANGZEDUOWEIZHONGXIAOXINGQIYE。GONGYINGSHANGFUGONGFUCHANJIEZOUMANYUZHUJIQIYE,SHIDESHANGYOULINGPEIJIANGONGYINGBUZUDEWENTICHENGWEIFUGONGFUCHANQIYEFANYINGJIAOWEIJIZHONGDEWENTIZHIYI,YIYOUQIYEYINPEIJIANGONGYINGBUZUYINGXIANGLESHENGCHAN。

  ERSHIHETONGLVXINGHEYANXUKUNNAN、QIYEDINGDANPUBIANXIAHUA。SHOUYIQINGFANGKONGHEYANQIFUGONGDENGDEYINGXIANG,CHANPINHETONGBUNENGANQIJIAOHUO、XIAOSHOUTINGZHI、SHICHANGDINGDANLIUSHIXIANXIANGPUBIANCUNZAI。DIAOCHAXIANSHI,DANGQIANJIXIEGONGYEJIEJINJIUCHENGDEBEIDIAOCHAQIYEDINGDANXIAJIANG。QIZHONGJINSANCHENGQIYEZAISHOUDINGDANJIANGFUCHAOGUO50%,ERCHENGQIYEZAISHOUDINGDANJIANGFUZAI20%-50%ZHIJIAN,LINGYOUSANCHENGZUOYOUQIYEBIAOSHIDINGDANDEJIANGFUNANYIGUJI。DINGDANXIAHUA、XUQIUWEISUO,QIYEQUANMIANFUCHANJIUQUEFADONGLIYUZHICHENG,WENDINGJINGJIYUNXINGYUWENDINGJIUYEDEMUBIAOJIUHUIZAOYUJIAODATIAOZHAN。

三肖选一肖一码  SANSHIWULIUYUNSHUYIRANBUCHANG、YUNSHUSHIXIAOYANZHANG。YIQINGFASHENGHOUWULIUYUNSHUYOUQISHISHENGJIJIANDEWULIUJIBENZANTING,DUISHENGCHANHUODONGZAOCHENGMINGXIANYINGXIANG。TEBIESHIJINQI,SUIZHEFUGONGFUCHANQIYESHULIANGDEZENGJIA,GEFANGDUIWULIUYUNSHUDEXUQIUYEKUAISUZENGZHANG。WEIJIXIEXINGYEPEITAODEWULIUYUNSHUFUWUBUZU,ZAOCHENGLEWULIAO、PEIJIAN、CHANPINYUNSHUFUWUDEQUEKOU。BUFENQIYEFANYINGDANGQIANDEWULIUSHIXIAOBISHANGNIANTONGQIYANZHANGYUEYIBEI。

  SISHIDUIWAIMAOYICHUKOUSHOUYINGXIANG。XINGUANYIQINGFASHENGYILAI,YIXIEGUOJIA(DIQU)DUIWOGUOHUOWUCHUKOUYURENYUANLIUDONGLUXUCAIQULEXIANZHIXINGCUOSHI,JIEZHIMUQIANYISHEJI146GEGUOJIA,ZHISHIBUFENWAIMAODINGDANBEIQUXIAOHUOYANQI。CIWAIBUFENGUOJIAHEDIQUCAIQUGUODUDEFANGYICUOSHI,XIANZHIWOGUOQIYECANJIAGUOJIZHANHUI、JINXINGSHANGWUQIATAN、KAIZHANGUOJIHEZUODENGJIAOLIUHUODONG,YEZHIJIEYINGXIANGLEJIXIECHANPINDECHUKOU。

三肖选一肖一码  WUSHIQIYECHENGSHOUDUOZHONGYALI,ZIJINLIANJINZHANG。SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANG,SHICHANG、SHENGCHANZHANGSHIJIANTINGZHI,DAOZHIDINGDANSUNSHI,ZIJINHUILONGJIANSHAO、LIUDONGXINGJINZHANG。DANQIYEYIRANXUZHIFUZHIGONGGONGZIDENGFEIYONG,CHENGDANZHEJIAOZHONGDERENGONGCHENGBENFUDAN。TONGSHIYOUSHENGCHANTINGZHIDAOZHIDEDINGDANJIAOFUNAN、HETONGZHIXINGNAN,SHIQIYECHENGSHOUZHEWEIYUECHENGBENSHANGSHENGDEYALI。CIWAIGUDINGFEIYONGZHICHUYEDUIQIYEXINGCHENGLEMINGXIANDEZIJINYALI。

三肖选一肖一码  LIUSHIYONGGONGNANYIRANCUNZAI。SUIRANJINQIGEDIDUIRENYUANLIUDONGDEXIANZHIYOUSUOFANGSONG,BUFENSHENGSHIWEICUJINQIYEFUGONGFUCHANCAIQULEBAOJI、BAOCHEDENGCUOSHIZHUANCHENGJIESONGWAILAIWUGONGRENYUAN,DANZONGLIANGYIRANYUANYUANBUGOU,SUIZHEYUELAIYUEDUODEQIYEKAISHIFUGONGFUCHAN,LAODONGLIQUEKOURENGSHIKUNRAOQIYEDEWENTI。

  三、机械工业经济运行走势的预判

  MUQIANWOGUOYIQINGFANGKONGXINGSHICHIXUXIANGHAO,BINGQUDELEJIJICHENGXIAO,YOULIYINSUBUDUANJILEI;DANGUONEIWAIYIQINGXINGSHIZONGTIYIRANYANJUNFUZA,GEZHONGBULIYINSUDUIXINGYEFAZHANDAILAIBUQUEDINGXING。

  (一)有利因素

  YIQINGFASHENGYILAI,ZAIDANGZHONGYANG、GUOWUYUANDEBUSHUXIA,YOUGUANBUWEIHEDIFANGZHENGFUCHUTAILEZHONGDUOZHICHIYIQINGFANGKONG、CUJINFUGONGFUCHAN、BANGFUKUNNANQIYE、BAOZHANGZHIGONGJIUYEDEZHENGCE,TONGGUOJIANQINGSHUIFEIFUDAN、ZENGJIACAIZHENGJINRONGZHICHI、JIANHUANSHEBAOYALI、JIANGDINENGYUANJIAGE、JIANHUASHENPILIUCHENGDENGFANGMIANZHICHIHEBANGZHUQIYEYINGDUIYIQINGYINGXIANG,DUIWENDINGSHEHUIJINGJIZHIXUFAHUILEJIJIZUOYONG。

  JINQIWENTOUZI、WENXIAOFEI、WENWAIMAOZHENGCECUOSHIJIZHONGBANBU,YOUGUANXIANGMUZHUBUDELUOSHI,SHICHANGXINXINJINYIBUHUIFU。

  WENTOUZI:GUOJIAYOUGUANBUMENJIAKUAILEXIANGMUSHENPIYUZHONGYANGYUSUANNEIZIJINXIADADEJINDU。JIEZHI3YUE3RI,FAGAIWEIYIPIFU2286YIYUANJIJIANXIANGMU,BISHANGNIANTONGQIZENGJIA930YIYUAN;JIEZHI3YUE20RI,CAIZHENGBUYIBOFUZHONGYANGJIJIANTOUZIDUIDIFANGZHUANYIZHIFUZIJINJINDUTONGBITIGAOLE12.6GEBAIFENDIAN,TIQIANXIADALECHEGOUSHUIZIJIN2500DUOYI、GANGKOUJIANSHEFEI70DUOYI、MINHANGFAZHANJIJIN240DUOYI,ZHEIXIEZIJINQUANBUDOUJIANGYONGYUZHICHIGONGLU、GANGKOU、HANGDAO、JICHANGDENGJICHUSHESHIJIANSHE。KUODADIFANGZHUANXIANGZHAIQUANGUIMO。JINGRENDACHANGWEIHUISHOUQUAN、GUOWUYUANPIZHUN,CAIZHENGBUTIQIANXIADALE2020NIANXINZENGDEDIFANGZHENGFUZHAIQUAN18480YIYUAN,QIZHONGZHUANXIANGZHAI12900YIYUAN,ZHUANXIANGZHAIQUANBUYONGYUJICHUSHESHIJIANSHE;JIEZHI3YUE20RI,YIFAXINGXINZENGDIFANGZHUANXIANGZHAI10233YIYUAN,BEIJING、TIANJIN、LIAONINGDENG9SHENGQUYIWANCHENGXINZENGDIFANGZHUANXIANGZHAIQUANDEFAXINGGONGZUO。LIHAOYUGONGCHENGJIXIEHEZHONGXINGJIXIEXINGYE。

  GUANGDONG、HUNAN、SHANXISANSHENGRIQIANFABU44GEHUODIANXIANGMUJIANSHEJIHUA(HANXINJIAN、XUJIANHEQIANQIYUBEIXIANGMU);YUNNANXINZENG800WANQIANWAFENGDIAN、300WANQIANWAGUANGFUBUJUYUJIANSHE;HUANENG160WANQIANWAFENGDIANDAJIDIXIANGMUHUOHEZHUN;GUOJIADIANWANGSHANXIYUANQUCHOUSHUIXUNENGDIANZHANGONGCHENGKAIGONGJIANSHE。LIHAOYUFADIANSHEBEIXINGYE。

  GUOJIADIANWANG2020NIANJIHUAANPAIDIANWANGTOUZI4000YIYUANYISHANG,KEDAIDONGSHEHUITOUZI8000DUOYIYUAN;BIANZHIDE《2020NIANTEGAOYAHEKUASHENG500QIANFUJIYISHANGJIAOZHILIUXIANGMUQIANQIGONGZUOJIHUA》,MINGQUEQUANNIANTEGAOYAJIANSHEXIANGMUZHENGTITOUZIGUIMOJIN5000YIYUAN。LIHAOYUSHUBIANDIANXINGYE。

三肖选一肖一码  KEJIBUYINFA《GUANYUKEJICHUANGXINZHICHENGFUGONGFUCHANHEJINGJIPINGWENYUNXINGDERUOGANCUOSHI》DETONGZHI,TICHUJIADARENGONGZHINENG、GONGYEHULIANWANGDENGZHONGDAKEJIXIANGMUDESHISHIHEZHICHILIDU。LIHAOYUZHINENGZHIZAOZHUANGBEIXINGYE。

三肖选一肖一码  WENXIAOFEI:2YUE16RI,XIJINPINGZONGSHUJIZAIZHONGYANGZHENGZHIJUCHANGWEIHUIHUIYITICHU“YAOJIJIWENDINGQICHEDENGCHUANTONGDAZONGXIAOFEI,GULIQICHEXIANGOUDIQUSHIDANGZENGJIAQICHEHAOPAIPEIE,DAIDONGQICHEJIXIANGGUANCHANPINXIAOFEI”。CIHOU,FAGAIWEI、GONGXINBUDENG23GEBUMENLIANHEFABUDE《GUANYUCUJINXIAOFEIKUORONGTIZHIJIAKUAIXINGCHENGQIANGDAGUONEISHICHANGDESHISHIYIJIAN》,GONGXINBUFABUDE《GUANYUYOUXUTUIDONGGONGYETONGXINYEQIYEFUGONGFUCHANDEZHIDAOYIJIAN》,SHANGWUBU、FAGAIWEIHEWEIJIANWEILIANHEFABUDE《GUANYUZHICHISHANGMAOLIUTONGQIYEFUGONGYINGYEDETONGZHI》DENGXIANGGUANZHENGCEWENJIANZHONG,FENBIETICHUTONGGUOGULIQICHEXIANGOUDIQUSHIDANGZENGJIAQICHEHAOPAIXIANE、CUJINJIDONGCHEBAOFEIGENGXIN、TIGONGXINCHEGOUZHIYUYIJIUHUANXINBUTIE、QUXIAOPIKAJINCHENGXIANZHIDENGCUOSHI,WENDINGHEKUODAQICHEXIAOFEI。LIHAOYUQICHEZHIZAOYE。GUANGZHOUSHIYIMINGQUEJINNIANJIANGZENGJIAZHONGXIAOKECHEZHIBIAO。

三肖选一肖一码  NONGYENONGCUNBU、CAIZHENGBUHESHANGWUBULIANHEYINFA《NONGYEJIXIEBAOFEIGENGXINBUTIESHISHIZHIDAOYIJIAN》,ZHENDUINONGJICHAOQIFUYIWENTI,CHUTAIBAOFEIGENGXINBUTIEZHENGCE,YINDAOGEDIJIAKUAILAOJIUNONGYEJIXIEBAOFEIGENGXINJINDU,CUJINNONGJISHICHANGDEHUIFU。LIHAOYUNONGYEJIXIEXINGYE。

  WENWAIMAO:GUOWUYUANCHANGWUHUIYIFABULEBAOKUODUICHU“LIANGGAOYIZI”WAISUOYOUWEIZUETUISHUIDECHUKOUCHANPINJISHIZUETUISHUIZAINEIDEWENWAIMAOWENWAIZIDEJUCUO;CAIZHENGBU、SHUIWUZONGJU3YUE17RIFABU《GUANYUTIGAOBUFENCHANPINCHUKOUTUISHUILVDEGONGGAO》,SHEJIJIXIEGONGYECHEYONGJINGUJIAN、ZHUJIANDENGCHANPIN。SHANGWUBUYINFA《GUANYUYINGDUIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGZUOHAOWENWAIMAOWENWAIZICUXIAOFEIGONGZUODETONGZHI》,TICHULEWENWAIMAO、WENWAIZI、CUXIAOFEIDE20TIAOJUTICUOSHI。SHANGWUBUYUCAIZHENGBUYINFA《GUANYUYONGHAONEIWAIMAOZHUANXIANGZIJINZHICHIWENWAIMAOWENWAIZICUXIAOFEIGONGZUODETONGZHI》,TICHUCHONGFENFAHUIZHONGYANGCAIZHENGNEIWAIMAOZIJINXIAOYIQUANLIZHICHIWENZHUWAIMAOWAIZIJIBENPAN。ZONGTIERYAN,JINQIXIANGGUANZHENGCECUOSHIHEJUTIXIANGMUDELUOSHI,DUIWENDINGYUBAOZHANGJIXIECHANPINSHICHANGXUQIU、JIAKUAIXINGYEZHENGCHANGSHENGCHANZHIXUDEHUIFUJUYOUJIJIYIYI。ZHEIXIEZHENGCEJUCUODOULIHAOYUJIXIEGONGYEWAIMAOQIYE。

三肖选一肖一码  ZONGTIERYAN,JINQIXIANGGUANZHENGCECUOSHIHEJUTIXIANGMUDELUOSHI,DUIWENDINGYUBAOZHANGJIXIECHANPINSHICHANGXUQIU、JIAKUAIXINGYEZHENGCHANGSHENGCHANZHIXUDEHUIFUJUYOUJIJIYIYI。

  (二)不利因素

三肖选一肖一码  1、YIQINGYINGXIANGZHONGDA,HUIFUSHANGXUSHIRI

三肖选一肖一码  CONGGONGYEJINGJIYUNXINGQINGKUANGKAN,JINNIAN1-2YUEFENGUIMOYISHANGGONGYEZENGJIAZHITONGBIXIAJIANG13.5%,WEIYOUTONGJISHUJUYILAIDEZUIDI,QIZHONG,ZHIZAOYEXIAJIANG15.7%,CHUSHIYOUHETIANRANQIKAICAIYE、YANCAOZHIPINYEWAI,41GEGONGYEXINGYEDALEIXINGYEZHONG,YOU39GECHUXIANXIAJIANG,QIZHONG30GEXINGYEJIANGFUDADAO2WEISHU。CONGSANDAXUQIUBIAOXIANLAIKAN,TOUZI、XIAOFEI、CHUKOUJUNQUANMIANXIAHUA,QIAN2GEYUEQUANGUOGUDINGZICHANTOUZITONGBIXIAJIANG24.5%,QIZHONGGONGYETOUZIXIAJIANG27.5%,ZHIZAOYETOUZIDAFUXIAJIANG31.5%;SHEHUIXIAOFEIPINLINGSHOUZONGETONGBIXIAJIANG20.5%;DUIWAICHUKOUANMEIYUANJITONGBIXIAJIANG17.2%。

  JINRU3YUEYILAI,GONGYEQIYEYOUXUFUGONGFUCHAN,QIYEKAIGONGLVWENBUTISHENG,SHENGCHANJINGYINGHUODONGYOUXUHUIFU。GENJUGONGXINBUJIANCEDIAODUSHUJU,CHUHUBEISHENGWAI,QUANGUOGUISHANGGONGYEQIYEPINGJUNKAIGONGLVYIDADAO98.5%,QIYEKAIGONGYUANGONGFUGANGLVDADAO87.3%。DANQUANBUHUIFUDAOZHENGCHANGZHIXUSHANGXUSHIRI。

  2、XINGUANYIQINGQUANQIUMANYANYINGXIANGGUOJIMAOYI

三肖选一肖一码  SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANG,3YUECHUGUOJIHUOBIJIJINZUZHI(IMF)FABU,2020NIANQUANQIUJINGJIZENGZHANGLVYUQIYOU1YUEFABUDE3.3%JIANGZHI2.9%。CIHOUYIQINGMANYANDEFANWEICHIXUKUODA,3YUE12RISHIJIEWEISHENGZUZHIZHENGSHIXUANBU,XINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDEBAOFAYIJINGGOUCHENGYICIQUANQIUXING“DALIUXING”。YIDALI、XIBANYA、MEIGUODENGZHISHAO53GEGUOJIAXUANBUJINRUJINJIZHUANGTAI。SHOUCIYINGXIANG,QUANQIUJINRONGSHICHANGKAISHIJULIEZHENDANG,GUOJIZHUYAOGUZHIDAFUXIADIE,DUOGUOGUSHIZAOYU“RONGDUAN”。KONGHUANGQINGXUHEXIAOFEISHUAITUIJIANGJINYIBUTUOLEISHIJIEJINGJIZENGSUFANGHUAN、GUOJIMAOYISHICHANGPIRUAN。

  ZAICIBEIJINGXIA,JIXIEGONGYEDUIWAIMAOYICHUKOUZONGLIANGJIAODADEQICHELINGPEIJIAN、DIYADIANQI、MINYONGJIXIE、WENBANSHEBEIDENGCHANPINSHICHANGJIANGMIANLINYANJUNDEGUOJISHICHANGXINGSHI。CONGMAOYIHUOBANKAN,JINQIYIQINGKUAISUSHENGJIDEYIDALI、FAGUO、DEGUO、MEIGUO、YINGGUODENG15GEGUOJIA,JUNWEIJIXIEGONGYEZHONGYAODECHUKOUMUDEGUO,2019NIANCHUKOUJINEHEJIZHANJIXIEGONGYECHUKOUZONGEDESANFENZHIYI。CIWAIYIQINGYEWEIZHONGMEIZHIJIANDEMAOYIDAILAIGENGDUODEBUQUEDINGXING,LAIZHIBUYIDEZHONGMEIMAOYIDIYIJIEDUANXIEYIDEJIJICHENGGUO,ZAOYUFUMIANYINGXIANG。ZONGSHANGJIXIEGONGYEDUIWAIMAOYIJIANGCHENGSHOUJUDAYALI。

  (三)未来走势预判

  DUANQIKAN,YOUYUYIQINGSHANGWEIJIECHU,QUANMIANHUIFUDAOZHENGCHANGDESHENGCHANJINGYINGZHUANGTAIHAIXUYAOYIDINGSHIJIAN,YINCIJINYISHIQIXINGYEYUNXINGZONGTIRENGCHUYUZHUBUHUIFUJIEDUAN。JIAZHIQIANQITINGGONGTINGCHANYIZAOCHENGDESUNSHI,YUJIYIJIDUJIXIEGONGYEZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAOJIANGCHUXIAN20%ZUOYOUDEHUILUO。RUGUOYIQINGZAIYIJIDUDEDAOYOUXIAOKONGZHI,ERJIDU,ZAIQUANSHEHUIFUGONGFUCHANLVPUBIANHUISHENGDEBEIJINGXIA,CHANYELIANPEITAOWENTIZHUBUDEDAOGAISHAN,JIXIEQIYESHENGCHANJINGYINGZHIXUHUIJIAKUAIHUIFU,SHICHANGYEJIANGCHUXIANYIDINGFUDUDEFANDAN,YUJIERJIDUJIXIEGONGYESHENGCHANJINGYINGJIANGCHUXIANQUWENXIANGHAODETAISHI。

三肖选一肖一码  ZHONGQIKAN,WEIHUANJIEYIQINGDUIQIYESHENGCHANJINGYINGDAILAIDEKUNNAN,GUOJIAHEDIFANGYOUGUANZHENGFUBUMENJIZHONGCHUTAILEDUOXIANGFUCHIYUJIUZHUZHENGCE,SHEJISHICHANGBAOZHANG、CAISHUIZHICHI、JINRONGZHICHI、ZHIGONGFANGANGDENGZHUDUOFANGMIAN,WEITIZHENSHICHANGYUQIYEXINXINFAHUIJIJIZUOYONG。SHANGBANNIANJIXIEGONGYESHENGCHANJINGYINGJIANGZHUBUQIWEN,XIABANNIANZENGSUJIANGMINGXIANGAOYUSHANGBANNIAN。

三肖选一肖一码  ZHANGQIKAN,WOGUOJINGJIDEJIBENMIANSHIWENDINGDE,YIQINGGUOHOUKAIZHANDEHUIFUXINGJIANSHEYUTOUZI,KEWEIJIXIEXINGYESHIFANGCHUQIANZAIDESHICHANG,WEIJIXIEGONGYEJIEGOUDIAOZHENG、ZHUANXINGSHENGJIDAILAIXINDEJIYU。

三肖选一肖一码  ZONGHEFENXI:YUJI2020NIANJIXIEGONGYEJINGJIYUNXINGJIANGCHENGXIANQIANDIHOUGAO、ZHUBUHUISHENGDEZOUSHI,RUYIQINGNENGZAORIJIESHU,GONGYEZENGJIAZHIZENGSURENGKEDA5%ZUOYOU,YINGYESHOURU、LIRUNZONGEDENGZHIBIAOJIANGBAOCHIXIAOFUZENGZHANG。

三肖选一肖一码  2020NIANSHIQUANMIANJIANCHENGXIAOKANGSHEHUIHE“SHISANWU”GUIHUASHOUGUANZHINIAN,MIANDUIDANGQIANDEKUNNANYUTIAOZHAN,RANGWOMENJIANDINGXINXIN、ZHENFENJINGSHEN、ZHUDONGZUOWEI,YISHIJIXINGDONGCANYUDAOYOUXIAOKANGJIYIQINGYUYOUXUHUIFUSHENGCHANDEGONGZUOZHIZHONG,WEISHIXIANXINGYEPINGWENJIANKANGFAZHAN、BAOZHENGQUANNIANRENWUMUBIAOANQIWANCHENGZUOCHUYINGYOUDEGONGXIAN。

三肖选一肖一码  ZUIHOU,WEINULIWANCHENGJIXIEGONGYENIANCHUYUDINGDEQUANNIANZHUYAOJINGJIZHIBIAO,TICHUSANDIANXIWANG:

  DIYIXIESHOUTUIDONGJIXIEGONGYEJINGJIYUNXINGCHIXUJIANKANGFAZHAN。ZHONGGUOJIXIEGONGYELIANHEHUIHEGEZHUANYEXIEHUI、GEDIFANGXIEHUIYIDINGYAOXIESHOUTONGXING,GONGTONGYINGDUI,TUIDONGJIXIEGONGYEJINGJIYUNXINGCHIXUJIANKANGFAZHAN。GEZHUANYEXIEHUI、GEDIFANGXIEHUIYAOJINDINGBENXINGYE、BENDIQUQUANNIANGUISHANGQIYEGONGYEZENGJIAZHIZENGSUDENGZHUYAOYUQIMUBIAO,JIAKUAITUIDONGSHIXIANQUANMIANFUCHANDACHAN,ZHUAJINYANJIUHOUSANJIDUZHUIPINGBUQIDELUJINGHEJUCUO,BANGZHUQIYEJINZUIDAKENENGWAJUEQIANLI、KUODASHICHANG,NULIXUNZHAOXINDEZENGZHANGDIAN,LIBAOXINGYEYUNXINGBUHUACHUHELIQUJIAN。

三肖选一肖一码  DIERJIJIFANYINGXINGYEYUNXINGZHONGCUNZAIDEKUNNANHEWENTI。DANGQIANZHUYAORENWUSHIZAIJIXUZUOHAOYIQINGFANGKONGDEJICHUSHANG,JIAKUAIXINGYEFUCHANDACHAN,HUIFUZHENGCHANGSHENGCHANZHIXU,MIBUYIQINGZAOCHENGDESUNSHI。GEXINGYEXIEHUI、DIFANGXIEHUIYAOJINYIBUZUOHAOXINGYEJIANCEFENXI,TONGGUOQIYEDIAOYAN、ZUOTANDENGFANGSHI,ZHUNQUEMOQINGZHONGDIANQIYEDANGQIANDESHENGCHANJINGYINGQINGKUANG,LEJIEFUGONGFUCHAN、RENYUANFANGANG、CHANYELIANGONGYINGLIANZIJINLIANDENGFANGMIANCUNZAIDEKUNNANHEWENTI,BAQINGKUANGHEWENTIJISHIFANYINGJIWOMEN,HUOFANKUIJIYOUGUANZHENGFUBUMEN,GONGTONGTUIDONGBAZHEIXIEWENTIJIEJUEHAO。

  DISANZAIYINDAOHETUIDONGXINGYEJIANKANGFAZHANZHONGFAHUIGENGJIATUCHUDEZUOYONG。JIANCHIWEIQIYEFUHAOWU,ZAIYINDAOHETUIDONGXINGYEJIANKANGFAZHANZHONGFAHUIGENGJIATUCHUDEZUOYONG。JINYIDUANSHIJIANGEDIQU、GEBUMENYIMIJICHUTAILEFUGONGFUCHAN、JIANSHUIJIANGFEI、DINGXIANGJIANGZHUN、WENWAIMAOWENWAIZI、CUJINXIAOFEIDENGYIXILIEHUIQIZHUQIZHENGCECUOSHI,GEZHUANYEXIEHUI、DIFANGXIEHUISHOUXIANZIJIYAOCHITOUZHEIXIEWENJIANHUIQIZHENGCEDEJINGSHEN,BINGZHIDAOBANGZHUQIYEYONGHAOGEXIANGYOUHUIZHENGCE。

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